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Wednesday, 20 June 2012

Royal Ascot Day Three - Cay Verde can jet away from rivals

Day two of Royal Ascot wasn't so kind to us with our outsider bets not managing to land a blow but we're back & looking at Ladies Day to find the winners & we like our chances of trebling up in the first three races.

(Fame And Glory can delight the Royal Ascot crowd with another Gold Cup win)

Fame And Glory can win a second Gold Cup at odds of Evens & make it 6 wins in 7 runnings for trainer Aidan O'Brien, he's got the beating of his main rivals here & looks better the further he goes. f there is a time for Fame And Glory to be vulnerable you'd say early or late in the season & we tried to get the better of him in his comeback run by backing Unaccompanied but he prevailed by a neck & O'Brien will have him spot on for this race. Opinion Poll is a very good horse but has been well beaten by the pick a couple of times & the other Godolphin horse Colour Vision was behind both Opinion Poll & Fame And Glory in a two mile race here last year. Saddlers Rock is the interesting one courtesy of  a storming win at Doncaster at the end of 2011 when beating Opinion poll by 4 lengths but John Oxx's horse really only has the one piece of form putting him close to these top stayers & was beaten at Leopardstown two weeks ago.

(Speedy, versatile with regards to ground & great form - Cay Verde's the bet in the opener)

In the opener Cay Verde's form has taken a massive boost with the horses that have finished 2nd to him in his last two races finishing 1st & 3rd in Tuesday's Windsor Castle stakes. Mick Channon's Bahamian Bounty colt picked up his maiden here in soft ground & has since gone to the Curragh & won on good/good to firm with authority there so looks pretty versatile & certainly precocious enough to take this. Aidan O'Brien's Gale Force Ten could be a danger as he's some decent form in beating Leitir Mor last time & that one finished 7th in the Coventry on Tuesday. The other one we like is in the same ownership as the pick & that's Ahern who won very impressively at Musselburgh despite blowing the start, this will be a pretty speedy race & he will need to be much tidier if he's going to challenge here. Cay Verde has already achieved the most of these  has a Listed win under his belt, the form stacks up & odds of 3/1 are very tempting indeed.

(The Fugue (far left) can get a better run & finish in front of Shirocco Star (centre) in the Ribblesdale)

The Ribblesdale is a quality race for middle distance fillies & Oaks form is great to bring into the race & the 2nd, 3rd & 4th from Epsom are all competing here. Shirocco Star ran Was to a neck in the Oaks but we prefer the chances of the 3rd that day The Fugue, she had a terrible passage & was nearly brought down at one point yet she showed toughness & class to end up just about a length away in 3rd, with better luck here she can win in style. The Fugue has great connections, John Gosden trains, & top middle distance breeding - we really liked her dam Twyla Tharp who was by Sadler's Wells, she can use her stamina base to charge down the finishing straight to the win here. Vow was 4th in the Oaks & that was impressive for just her third run but she'll have to improve again to get past The Fugue who was a length clear of her even with her troubled passage. We can see The Fugue going off shorter than the current odds of 2/1 & she should be backed at that price.

2.30 Royal Ascot - Cay Verde to win at 3/1 (general)
3.05 Royal Ascot - The Fugue to win at 2/1 (general)
3.45 Royal Ascot - Fame And Glory to win at Evens (general)

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