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Thursday, 8 December 2011

NFL Thursday Night - Steelers can flatten Browns

Week 14 in the NFL begins with an AFC North divisional game with the Cleveland Browns travelling to face the Pittsburgh Steelers, it looks like a tough matchup for the Browns who've lost 5 of their last 6 & have injuries to key players. The Steelers meanwhile are starting to really roll having won 7 of their last 8 & won impressively against Cincinnati last week, we've our usual best bets below.

(The Steelers are making a championship push & running back Isaac Redman can play a part)

The Browns rank 30th in offensive yards, the Steelers have given up the least yards in offense. The Browns rank 31st defending the run, the Steelers have stepped up their running game in recent weeks averaging 116.3 yards in the last 3 games. The Browns have quarterback Colt McCoy playing with an injured knee this week & star player, back Peyton Hillis likely to be out, all of Pittsburgh's main weapons look fit, fresh & in form. Basically this looks bad for the Browns & great for the Steelers who know they have to keep up the pressure on Baltimore as they're currently tied atop the Division but the Ravens holding a tiebreaker by beating them twice already.

The Browns do have a good pass defense but it's made to look artificially better statistically due to their dreadful run defense as teams just keep running the ball straight through them & Pittsburgh will have joy in both disciplines. On the ground Rashard Mendenhall has been looking good with 8 touchdowns this year including a couple last week, he's backed up by the hard running Isaac Redman & between them they should get some nice yardage here. Ben Roethlisberger has a great set of receivers to throw to & has been particularly successful when going to Antonio Brown recently, we're expecting him to use his full set of catchers who are all fit & healthy minus Emmanuel Sanders. The Steelers have a great defense whose only weakness this year has been in not creating enough turnovers, that hasn't been too much of a problem when they keep making the opposition punt the ball & get the ball back that way, they really shouldn't be posed too many problems by Cleveland & this could be a touchdown shutout for the Browns offense. Even with the Browns decent defense we think that this could be a big win for Pittsburgh & they can cover the -14 point spread on their way to yet another win, we expect to see a nicely balanced offense & the usual great defense frustrate the Browns in every aspect of the game. For a nice value bet Isaac Redman is 25/1 to score the 1st touchdown & 9/2 with Ladbrokes to score at anytime, he's only one touchdown so far but has been handed the ball a few times in the redzone recently & looks a genuine contender especially at those prices!

Selections:
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cleveland Browns with -14 points at 10/11 (general)
Isaac Redman to score 1st touchdown at 25/1 (various) & to score touchdown at anytime at 9/2 (Ladbrokes)

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