This Sunday really is 'super' as there are three televised Premier League games beginning with current Champions Manchester United & finishing off with this year's pace setters Manchester City, it's a feast of football & we plan on enjoying it by making some money at the same time as watching with these bets.
(Sideways & backwards - Man United will hope to move forwards despite their problems in midfield)
In a very early kickoff at 12 o'clock
Manchester United make the trip to the capital to face Queens Park Rangers & the general consensus is that these are troubling times for Alex Ferguson's team having dropped out of the Champions League & facing a real injury crisis, fortunately their current fixtures look kind & after dispatching of Wolves last week they can do the same to QPR this time around. United are the league's 2nd highest scorers behind City whereas QPR have only scored more than two others in Wigan & West Brom, overall goal difference shows United have been 32 goals better than QPR in the 15 league games so far. Wayne Rooney & Nani both ended their recent goal droughts in style at Old Trafford last week & it's undeniable that when the Englishman is in form he's pretty good, Nani's virtually unstoppable when at his very best & QPR could be in some trouble in thsi one. QPR have been looking for a first choice frontman that will get them goals all year & look to have gone back to Heidar Helguson, he's done well in recent weeks but the 34 year old will not bother United at the back even without captain Nemanja Vidic.
United should be able to win here & can cover the -1 goal handicap to bring up a nice price of 5/4.
(The excellent Shay Given will be missing with a hamstring injury for the game against Liverpool)
To find a value bet in the Aston Villa v Liverpool game we've had a close look at the stats & it doesn't look like we should be expecting a thriller here with a close low scoring encounter on the cards. In 9 of Liverpool's last 10 league games there have been less than 3 goals & there have been just 31 golas in their 15 games so far, Villa have had three 0-0 draws & 7 draws in their games so far. Both teams have goalscoring problems but for different reasons with Villa struggling to service instinctive goalscorer Darren Bent with the chances he needs to feed off after the departures of Ashley Young & Stewart Downing. Downing is sure of a rough reception on his return & he's gaining notoriety after his big money transfer as he has scored no goals & has no assists, that is symptomatic of Liverpool's scoring problems, they do set chances up but fail to put them away. It remains highly improbable that Andy Carroll will ever justify his inflated £35m transfer fee with goals but Luis Suarez was prolific for Ajax with 81 goals in 110 league appearances & he should have scored more for the Reds considering the chances he's created for himself. Suarez isn't the most popular player around the country but he is a phenomenal talent & most likely to light up this game.
Both teams are difficult to beat as they've built their sides on rock solid defences with two top keepers in Shay Given & Pepe Reina, Liverpool have improved further now they've accepted that Jamie Carragher's past his best & Daniel Agger & Martin Skrtel have formed an excellent partnership, Jose Enrique has been excellent at left back & even Glen Johnson has actually been doing his job & defending. Villa have some of the most robust defenders around in their back four & Fabian Delph & Stilian Petrov do a great job of protecting them, it's a pity that manager Alex McLeish can't get the balance right between attack & defence as there is definitely a base to work with at Villa. Villa will be missing keeper Shay Given after he raced out to clear the ball & injured his hamstring but Brad Guzan is very good for a backup & he'll be well protected by his team mates. With this likely to be tight & two good defences it's tempting to go with under 2.5 goals but the bookies have noticed & priced accordingly, a better bet is the
draw at odds of 5/2, those odds suggest it should happen once in every 3.5 games but Villa have drawn nearly half of their games & Liverpool a third of theirs.
(Man City's goalscorers have been lighting up the league)
The late game of the day is Manchester City hosting Arsenal in a clash between the league leaders & the league's most in form side with 7 wins & a draw in their last 8 games, it should be good & although the price is short it was easy to come up with the bet in this one. 8 of Man City's last 9 league games have had more than 2.5 goals & 9 of Arsenal's last 11. Both sides score (well van Persie does for Arsenal) but they also concede at the same time, City haven't a clean sheet in their last 8 in the league & although Arsenal have kept two in a row that was against Wigan & Everton, it'll be different against the juggernaut that is City. We'd edge with City if asked to pick a winner but the best bet is to bet on
over 2.5 goals at 4/6 with Betfred, that way you can sit back & enjoy whilst the goals fly in.
Selections:
Manchester United to beat Queens Park Rangers with -1 goal on the handicap at 5/4 (Bet 365 & Skybet)
Aston Villa v Liverpool to draw at 5/2 (various)
Over 2.5 goals in Manchester City v Arsenal game at 4/6 (Betfred)
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