(Lance Ball can make a case for the Broncos No 1. Running Back position with a big game against the Jets)
The Broncos managed to win at Arrowhead Stadium against the Chiefs even though they only completed two (yes just TWO) passes in the entire game & attempted just 8 in total, it goes to show the pragmatism of the coaching staff who have clearly realised, as has everybody else, Tim Tebow's weakness in the passing game. By placing Tebow in an option offense, that he so successfully mastered in college football, it gives him the best opportunity to get wins for the team & because it is s rarely seen in the professional game it may take some time for opposition defenses & coaching schemes to shut it down. The Broncos really made it clear that their plan was to focus on the run for the rest of the season when trading away the 2010 leading receiver in yards in Brandon Lloyd a month ago but Eric Decker has posted respectable yardage totals since even though he's had relatively few catches. Decker's averaging a very healthy 13.6 yards per catch & had a 56 yard touchdown for his only reception against Kansas City, his problem will be that now identified as Denver's leading receiver the Jets will place dominant cornerback Darrelle Revis covering him & he will become another receiver that gets lost on 'Revis Island'. The Broncos lost running back Knowshon Moreno for the season on Sunday & Willis McGahee also sat out the rest of the game after 4 carries but 3rd string back Lance Ball really stepped up carrying the ball 30 times for 96 yards, he will be looking to push for a starting position with another big night here. McGahee may well be back for the game but is still listed as questionable & it is safe to assume they won't want him running into walls of Jets players anyway so if they get down to the Jets goal line either Tebow himself or Ball are likely to try to run it in & backing Lance Ball at 6/4 to score the 1st touchdown at 12/1 & anytime at 6/4 looks worth an investment.
The Jets were starting to look like they were getting their game together before the loss to the Patriots after decent wins against Miami, San Diego & Buffalo but tehy weren't the toughest sides & their weaknesses really showed against New England. Mark Sanchez really fails to impress as a quarterback as far as we're concerned not getting close to breaking the 60% pass completion rate in any of his season's so far, he has very decent receivers in Santonio Holmes & Plaxico Burress (in his comeback season after shooting himself in the leg & completing jail time) but Sanchez doesn't find them often enough with too many passes being overthrown. The Jets are basically a rushing team but their rush offense hasn't been able to get it going this year & are ranked 24th, they are ranked just 20th in passing yards also & are going to miss 2nd string back LaDainian Tomlinson here who provides an excellent threat in short yardage situations. The Jets will need to make the most of their possessions as the Broncos will eat up a lot of clock with the running game but with LT out they may struggle to convert 3rd downs & end up punting more often than they'd like. The Jets defense is pretty good, partly because they shut down a team's lead receiver with Revis & then force teams reliant on that one receiver to go to the run, thus making them predictable - that won't work here as the Broncos want to run it & pretty much only run it right from the start & this could be a frustrating night for Rex Ryan & his Jets on both sides of the ball.
The New York Jets are hot favourites for this one & they could win but it isn't easy to travel up to Denver, a mile above sea level & the Denver fans will be red hot for this one after getting the man they wanted at quarterback, Sanchez & his offense will have to try to cope with the noise & make the most of the opportunities they get & at best odds of 4/11 they offer no value at all. With the clock set to be kept running for long periods of time thanks to the running game that means that the game is likely to be low scoring meaning that no team should win by a large margin & the Broncos getting +6.5 points on the handicap looks generous & needs to be bet.
Selections:
Denver Broncos to beat New York Jets with +6.5 points at 10/11 with Sportingbet
Lance Ball to score the 1st touchdown at 12/1 (Boylesports) & to score a touchdown at anytime at 6/4 (Ladbrokes)
(The Jets' Darelle Revis (no.24) is one of the league's dominant cornerbacks)
The Jets were starting to look like they were getting their game together before the loss to the Patriots after decent wins against Miami, San Diego & Buffalo but tehy weren't the toughest sides & their weaknesses really showed against New England. Mark Sanchez really fails to impress as a quarterback as far as we're concerned not getting close to breaking the 60% pass completion rate in any of his season's so far, he has very decent receivers in Santonio Holmes & Plaxico Burress (in his comeback season after shooting himself in the leg & completing jail time) but Sanchez doesn't find them often enough with too many passes being overthrown. The Jets are basically a rushing team but their rush offense hasn't been able to get it going this year & are ranked 24th, they are ranked just 20th in passing yards also & are going to miss 2nd string back LaDainian Tomlinson here who provides an excellent threat in short yardage situations. The Jets will need to make the most of their possessions as the Broncos will eat up a lot of clock with the running game but with LT out they may struggle to convert 3rd downs & end up punting more often than they'd like. The Jets defense is pretty good, partly because they shut down a team's lead receiver with Revis & then force teams reliant on that one receiver to go to the run, thus making them predictable - that won't work here as the Broncos want to run it & pretty much only run it right from the start & this could be a frustrating night for Rex Ryan & his Jets on both sides of the ball.
The New York Jets are hot favourites for this one & they could win but it isn't easy to travel up to Denver, a mile above sea level & the Denver fans will be red hot for this one after getting the man they wanted at quarterback, Sanchez & his offense will have to try to cope with the noise & make the most of the opportunities they get & at best odds of 4/11 they offer no value at all. With the clock set to be kept running for long periods of time thanks to the running game that means that the game is likely to be low scoring meaning that no team should win by a large margin & the Broncos getting +6.5 points on the handicap looks generous & needs to be bet.
Selections:
Denver Broncos to beat New York Jets with +6.5 points at 10/11 with Sportingbet
Lance Ball to score the 1st touchdown at 12/1 (Boylesports) & to score a touchdown at anytime at 6/4 (Ladbrokes)
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