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Sunday 23 October 2011

Monday Night Football - Ravens can tear poor Jaguars to pieces

We're pleased to see some English football back on a Monday night after last week only had a Spanish game & of course we have our usual NFL preview too. Last week we got the Jets to cover the spread & Santonio Holmes scored a touchdown at Evens to make it a decent night's work, we're looking to follow up in the Ravens v Jaguars game & the Brighton v West Ham game in the Championship.

(Jaguars quarterback Blaine Gabbert could be in for a rough night against the Ravens defense)

The red hot Baltimore Ravens roll into Jacksonville on Monday night to take on the less than good Jaguars & this could get ugly for the home side. The Ravens got their season going with an exceptional performance against their arch rivals the Pittsburgh Steelers & apart from a shock loss to the Titans in week 2 they've won all of their games & been impressive doing it, with their vaunted defense creating turnovers & scoring points from them. Quite simply the Ravens defense is awesome, they rank 3rd in yards per game given up & have conceded just 14.2 points per game, linebacker Ray Lewis is still doing the business & is maybe the best in the game at the age of 36, Ed Reed already has 2 interceptions this year & cornerback Lardarius Webb seems to get better & better. The Jaguars rank last in offensive yards & this is quite simply a horrible matchup for them, they cut quarterback David Garrard just days before the season started & have gone with rookie Blaine Gabbert who has completed less than half of his passes, he has been sacked 14 times in his 5 games & that could get worse in this one, he will never have faced a pass rush like this in college! On the plus side the Jags have an elite running back in Maurice Jones-Drew who has been having the ball handed off to him 20 times a game & been averaging over 95 yards a game, expect to see him see plenty of it in this one in an effort to limit turnovers.

The Ravens offense certainly isn't as good as the defense & we're still not convinced by QB Joe Flacco but they have an excellent receiver in Anquin Boldin & it looks to have been a smart move to trade up to select Torrey Smith in the st round of the draft. Like the Jaguars they also have a great running back in Ray Rice, at 5 foot 8 he's incredibly elusive but also has great hands when catching the ball & has over 300 yards receiving this year. This looks an excellent chance for the Ravens to get to 5 & 1 for the season & they can cover the -7.5 points William Hill offer on the points spread to do it at 10/11. In the 4 games Baltimore have won they've done it by a difference of 28, 30, 17 & 15 points, those were in games against better teams than Jacksonville, apart from maybe the St Louis Rams game & with other bookmakers making this a 9.5 point game the 7.5 looks an awesome bet.

(Craig Mackail-Smith can help this one be a high scoring encounter)

In the Championship, live on skysports Brighton entertain West Ham at the Falmer Stadium, promoted Brighton started the season taking the Championship by storm, winning five of their first six games but have struggled of late. Their current form has seen them unable to muster a win in their last six games with three defeats & three draws which has seen them drop into the mid-table places. Positive news for Brighton is that Will Buckley returns to the squad after limping out of the Carling Cup defeats to Liverpool but Gus Poyet is playing his cards close to his chest whether he will be in the starting line-up. Visitors West Ham (our pre season Championship winning selection) have made a solid but not spectacular start to the season & are currently sat 4th but a victory would see them jump into the automatic promotion places. Their current form is mixed with two wins, two draws & two defeats in their last six & have a mounting injury list with loanee Henri Lansbury & Matty Taylor recent casualties. Picking the winner of this match is difficult so we see value in backing over 2.5 goals at a best price of 10/11. The Falmer Stadium has seen 19 goals in its six games at an average of over 3 goals per game & West Ham on the road have scored 11 & conceded 4 meaning an average of 2.5 goals per game. On Monday night sit back, relax & enjoy the attacking forces of Mackail-Smith, Barnes, Buckley, Carew, Baldock & Nolan as they serve up a goals feast.

Selections:
Baltimore Ravens to beat Jacksonville Jaguars with -7.5 points at 10/11 with William Hill
Over 2.5 goals in the Brighton & Hove Albion v West Ham United game at 10/11 with William Hill

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