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Tuesday, 25 October 2011

Crawley putting together a Championship push

We've some midweek football action coming from League two this Tuesday including league leaders & pre-season favourites Crawley who look to have their season back on track after a bit of a blip, as ever good luck if you're punting & let your friends know if you like the blog.

League two leaders Crawley Town face Dagenham & Redbridge at the Broadfield Stadium. After two heavy defeats to Morecambe & Swindon back in September, Crawley have bounced back with six straight victories which puts them top of the table. They beat another promoted side in AFC Wimbledon 5-2 at the weekend with Matt Tubbs increasing his goalscorer tally to nine in all competitions. Visitors Dag & Red sit one point above the relegation places & after three wins in their first four league games they have embarked on a terrible run with eight defeats in their last ten league games & no clean sheet in that time. In their last five matches they have conceded 13 goals & their last fixture saw them hammered at home by Aldershot 5-2 who before the fixture had only scored 12 in 13 league games. This game will bring a comfortable home victory for Crawley (at the best price of 4/9 - a banker in any midweek accumulators) but the question is by how many goals will they win by? Crawleys attacking players, spearheaded by Matt Tubbs will be licking their lips in anticipation & we see value in backing Crawley -1 on the handicap market at 11/10.

Also in League two, Swindon Town entertain Gillingham at the County Ground. Paolo Di Canio's Robins sit one point outside the playoff places & have won three of their last six league games. They had a hard fought 1-0 victory away at the improving Plymouth with De Vita netting a late winner. Their strength is in front of their home fans with four victories & 16 goals so far. Gillingham who sit in 5th spot, come into the match on the back of two victories; a 5-2 away win at Torquay & 1-0 victory against Oxford this weekend. The latest victory is even more impressive when you see Oxford were on a eight match unbeaten run & Gillingham played most of the second half with 10 men & even 9 men for the last couple of minutes. The unpredictability of Swindon & the impressive current form of Gillingham makes picking the winner difficult but one thing we can expect from these sides is goals. Six matches at the County Ground have brought no less than 23 goals at an average of 3.83 goals per game & Gillingham on the road this season have scored 16 & conceded 13 goals so an average of over 4 goals per game. A goal feast is expected with the attacking players of Kerrouche, Ritchie & De Vita of Swindon trying to outscore Gills loanee striking duo Kuffour & Nouble with us the neutrals being the real winners. Over 2.5 goals is available at the general price of 4/6.

Crawley Town -1 goals to beat Dag & Red on the handicap market at 11/10 (Paddy Power/Stan James)
Over 2.5 goals in the Swindon Town vs Gillingham match at 4/6 (various)

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