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Wednesday, 15 August 2012

League One Antepost bets - Bookie 'Wrecking Crewe'

League One looks to be a pretty interesting division this year with Sheffield United as the favourites with them still in the League after failure in the playoff final & other fancied sides including MK Dons & newly promoted Swindon. Portsmouth have come down & will start with basically no players & a minus 10 point deduction & continuing uncertainty over their future, they look to be in serious trouble already & we couldn't put anyone off a bet for them to be relegated at short odds however we don't like waiting that long for relatively small returns.

(Steve Davis will be looking for his promoted Crewe side to continue their form into League One)

Swindon would probably be our picks for outright glory as they have momentum after promotion & seem to have made some astute signings, plus an impressive display against Brighton in the League Cup also breeds confidence however we think a superior bet may lay on the handicap market with Crewe Alexandra. Crewe have one of the most impressive youth setups in the country, producing numerous players who've gone on to make the big time & their latest exciting player Nick Powell has gone to join Manchester United in exchange for £4m into Crewe's pot. Crewe came up through the playoffs from last year & they blooded plenty of youngsters who have stayed at the club with Shaun Miller the only other player of note to leave.

Crewe have a young manager of real promise in Steve Davis & he's prepared to adopt unorthodox measures & instil discipline to get the right results. Crewe will continue to bring through quality youngsters but have spent some of their Nick Powell windfall on players to bolster the squad including a much needed left back in Gregor Robertson from Chesterfield, centre back Mark Ellis from Torquay & also Mathias Pogba (brother of Paul) who scored twice on debut in the League Cup. Crewe will need to score more goals if they are to challenge higher up the table but Pogba could be a real gem of a signing & they have so much potential improvement in the team thanks to so many youngsters that a 25 point head start on the handicap with BetVictor looks a very good bet.

(Ryan Lowe should offer a real challenge for League One's top scorer honours)

For a top scorer in the division we can't look any further than MK Dons' Ryan Lowe who is as short as 12/1 (& favourite) with Ladbrokes yet as big as 20/1 elsewhere. Lowe signed for Sheffield Wednesday last year for over £100k but ended up not playing too often as competition was fierce, he's come to MK Dons with the promise of action & is a proven goalscorer at this level. He scored 49 goals in 90 league appearances for a pretty poor Bury outfit which brought about his move to Wednesday & he'll have some quality service from midfield here. Dons manager Karl Robinson is committed to passing, attacking football (they were the league's 2nd top scorers with 84 goals last year) & that means Lowe is in the right side if he wants to challenge for this honour. Darren Potter & Luke Chadwick should be the key midfielders who provide the service for Lowe & at 33 years old he will want it to be quality stuff as he won't want to run around too much!

We like Ryan Lowe's chances even more because of the players in front of him in the betting: Chris Porter & Richard Cresswell are both at Sheffield United & could share the goals between them plus the club struggled for goals once Ched Evans was out of the team thanks to his conviction for rape; Andy Williams has signed for Swindon from Yeovil & will be in an attacking side but Di Canio switched his strikers around a fair bit last year & could do the same again; Matt Tubbs & Lewis Grabban are two serious threats but will likely have to share goals between them for an attacking looking Bournemouth side. Therefore with Ryan Lowe as the main man at MK Dons he looks the best bet for top scorer at 20/1.

Crewe Alexandra on the handicap with +25 points at 18/1 (BetVictor)
Ryan Lowe League One top scorer at 20/1 (BlueSquare & 888Sport) 1/4 odds each way 1-2-3-4

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