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Saturday, 27 August 2011

Steering clear of Red Bull

Formula One returns after the summer break & the early practice sessions saw weather much the same as our weather back home.

Spa-Francorchamps is one of the drivers' favourites & is usually an exciting watch with its mix of changeable weather conditions, sweeping corners & propensity for accidents, safety cars & general chaos.

That doesn't mean we're looking for an outsider at a huge price to take the race win but the likes of Michael Schumacher and Nico Rosberg at tasty prices of 16/1 and 25/1 to make the podium are worth a small punt.

Sebastian Vettel & Mark Webber are the favourites to win the race but I suspect McLaren will be strong & 7/4 for a McLaren to win the race looks like a value bet to me, & even 5/1 for a Ferrari to come home in front might be worth a small flutter - you could back both (dutching) and still turn a small profit if it doesn't work out for the Red Bulls.

And while we're hunting for value, Mark Webber at between 4/1 and 5/1 to take another pole position is worth a look as he held the upper hand over Vettel before the break even if starting at the front has not helped him overly as when the lights go out, he tends to head backwards.

bwin offer an interesting market on whether Red Bull (18/19), McLaren (11/4) or Ferrari (11/1) will get both of their drivers into the top three in qualifying. However, I fancy the 29/10 on offer for any other outcome - with both Fernando Alonso & Lewis Hamilton far stronger in qualifying than their team-mates, & the threat of some bad weather around, a mixed up front of the grid is entirely possible.

Selections:Neither Red Bull, McLaren or Ferrari to get both cars into top three of qualifying at 29/10 (bwin)
Mark Webber to take pole at 5/1
A McLaren to win the race at 7/4
Michael Schumacher / Nico Rosberg to finish in the top three at 25/1 & 16/1 respectively

By John Pennington of www.lunchwatchman.com for Like Buying Money follow on twitter @jspennington

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