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Tuesday, 3 April 2012

Rossoneri can frustrate Barcelona

(Zlatan Ibrahimovic - big at 7/2 to score at anytime)

Tonight's Champions League contest at the Nou Camp where Barcelona host AC Milan looks like being an intriguing contest with the tie finely balanced after a goalless encounter when the sides met in Italy although Barca are strong favourites here, which is unsurprising as they're considered Europe's best. Barca have only lost twice all season & both of those games came away in the league so looking for a Milan win here, even at odds of 12/1 could look a thankless task, Allegri will have his team set up primarily to stop Barca & they had success last week when they frustrated the Spanish side & carved out a few chances themselves. Milan could be made to pay for not bringing a lead here but they will be buoyed by the fact that they've already knocked 4 goals in against Barcelona this season, gaining a 2-2 draw here in the group stage before losing 3-2 at the San Siro, they know that a repeat result of that first leg will put them through on away goals. That 2-2 result was achieved without star player Zlatan Ibrahimovic but he'll be here & although unappreciated in England & our 'brilliant pundits' the player is a real winner, winning every league he's played in, every year since 2004, he will relish the opportunity to show Guardiola what a mistake he made in selling him & could be a big price at 7/2 to score at anytime.

(Classy Cesc Fabregas could come into the Barcelona lineup to replace injury doubt Xavi)

The most likely thing to happen in the game is that Milan try to contain Barca for large parts but the home side's incredible quality will shine through & they'll win out, although Xavi is a fitness worry & could be replaced by Fabregas who's returning from a slight back problem. Iniesta, Fabregas & Alexis Sanchez will all try to find a way through but the world's best player Lionel Messi will be the biggest threat as he always inevitably is & it could be an impossible task to stop him if he turns up really on his game. The three times the teams have already played against each other does give Milan hope though, with two draws & a loss by just one goal the value bet here may come in backing the draw at huge odds of 11/2 with 188Bet, as we said Milan have already shown they can score against Barcelona & they won't turn up here totally unfocused & borderline unprofessional as they did against Arsenal when they already held a 4-0 lead. Milan will have no qualms about grinding this one out & sneaking away with an ugly victory on away goals or penalties & although Barcelona are clearly deserving favourites we can't make them 2/7 shots when we know the type of game Milan will come to play.

Barcelona v AC Milan to be a draw at 11/2 (188Bet)
Ibrahimovic to score at anytime at 7/2 (188Bet) 

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