The football just seems to keep going this week & we have had a look through this Tuesday's fixtures to come up with three bets that have a little bit of value about them. Think about this before placing your bets, how are a side that have less points than their rivals in 2012 in dreadful form 11/10 to win away yet another side that are psuhing for a title, with plenty more points & better form than their opponents 7/5 to win away? Sometimes it seems that the bookies do get it wrong & we have a duty as punters to take advantage - the results on an individual day may not come off but if you keep doing the right things you can turn a long term profit.
(Blackburn defender Grant Hanley will hope to keep Liverpool's misfiring strikers at bay)
You might not hink that it's possible that a side playing at home that have won twice as many league games in 2012 as their opponents could be 11/4 to win but that's precisely what we see as
Blackburn Rovers face Liverpool at Ewood Park. To be fair it isn't difficult to have won twice as many as iverpool as they have just 2 league wins since the turn of the year & remember that they came against an absolutley dreadful Wolves side & Everton when the Toffees rested plenty of players, the Reds couldn't beat a thoroughly out of form Aston Villa at home on Saturday & facing a physical Blackburn side is not ideal just three days later. Liverpool have created chances in pretty much every game they've played but with Kuyt & Carroll at the sharp end plus Luis Suarez who doesn't seem to have packed his shooting boots along with his dribbling past 3 players at a time boots they are unlikely to start converting those chances anytime soon. Blackburn are obviously no great shakes & sit in the relegation zone but they've had 5 home wins which is as many as their rivals here & have some real quality going forward with Yakubu at the front end supported by the classy Junior Hoilett in midfield & they've looked better at the back since managing to ship out unhappy players, Ryan Nelsen & Chris Samba. Rovers held firm against champions-elect Manchester United for 80 minutes last Monday & were only stopped from scoring by some inspired David De Gea goalkeeping.
Blackburn have to bounce back from a lame display against West Brom on Saturday but it's worth chancing at odds of 11/4 against this Liverpool side who look likely to finish bottom of the betting handicap table & who are looking like they could even finish in the bottom half if results aren't forthcoming & quick about it too!
(Goalscorer Ched Evans has 26 league goals & 7 in his last 5 games for Sheffield United)
In League One, Sheffield United travel to Spotland to face Rochdale, United will be looking for all three points to go back ahead of City rivals Wednesday into the second automatic promotion spot whilst Rochdale are rock bottom. United have won their last four league matches in a row & in striker Ched Evans they have a player bang in form having scored at least one in each of his last five games. The Blades are unbeaten in their last seven games & on the road they have won three of their last four with victories over Hartlepool, Notts County & Brentford. Hosts Rochdale are on the verge of relegation to League Two & have lost three of their last four league matches with the latest being a 3-1 defeat away at Yeovil Town, they've conceded at least one goal in each of their last seven games & at home they have lost two & drawn two of their last five. We
expect Sheffield United at the general price of 5/6 to leapfrog above rivals Wednesday with a fifth consecutive victory at the expense of a poor Rochdale side
.
(Reading's Mikele Leigertwood has 4 goals from midfield this season & 2 in the last 3)
In the Championship we see sutomatic promotion chasers
Reading travel the short distance down South to face Brighton at their fantastic Falmer Stadium. Brighton are just about holding off a whole host of sides just below them for the final playoff spot but their recent form has not been great with just one win in their last 5 league games & 3 in 11, they'll be hoping that their better home form (11 wins from 20 games) will give them the advantage they'll need over red hot Reading. The Royals have won 12 of their last 14 & that has seen them rise right to the upper echelons of the league, they have a lot of attacking intent as can be seen by their 14 goals in their last 5 games & the January signing of Jason Roberts has really seemed to freshen up their front line. It won't be easy for Reading to win away here but they've recently stuck 4 in the back of the net away to Barnsley & West Ham which shows they'll come here to win & not settle for a draw which makes the odds against available a very good price. Brighton haven't been scoring enough this year with just 49 goals in their 41 games & their star striker Craig Mackail-Smith hasn't scored in the last 8 games,
Reading should be able to play with freedom & odds of 7/5 for the potential champions is outstanding value.
Selections:
Blackburn Rovers to beat Liverpool at 11/4 (Skybet)
Sheffield United to beat Rochdale at 5/6 (various)
Reading to beat Brighton & Hove Albion at 7/5 (various)
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