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Friday, 26 August 2011

Ports Ahoy! Valiant effort to be rewarded...

We got 2 out of 3 right with our picks last week with just Charlton letting the picks down after leading 2-0 & conceding an equaliser in the 91st minute of their match against Scunthorpe, elsewhere Middlesbrough came from behind to beat Birmingham comfortably & Wayne Rooney's header to make it 3-0 for United versus Spurs ensured the over 2.5 goals pick was successful - we want 100% success this week & have scoured the markets for great bets to share with you.

In League two, unbeaten Port Vale take on Southend at Vale Park. Since the return of manager Micky Adams, after his ill fated reign at Sheffield United, the Valiants have won two & drawn two of their opening four league games. Southend have suffered two straight defeats without scoring a goal after & have won only one of their last 11 league matches away from home. So we fancy Port Vale to be too strong for Southend, with Sean Rigg adding to his 4 goals, & stretching their unbeaten run to five games at a best price of 11/8.

We also think that Portsmouth and Cardiff will share the spoils in the Championship. The Fratton Park draw is best priced at 12/5 for the two 2008 FA Cup finalists to come away with a point apiece. To date the South Coast based club have picked up 5 points from their Championship matches, losing only once to high-flyers Brighton after Liam Lawrence missed an added on time penalty. An opening day draw away at Middlesbrough & a win at home against Reading have been the highlights so far. Defeat in the first round of the League Cup means they have had a week off since their goalless match against Bristol City. Cardiff on the other hand played 120 minutues against the fancied League 1 side Huddersfield at the Cardiff City Stadium, although Malky Mackay rested the majority of his first teamers summer signings Craig Conway & Don Cowie played the full match & there were also runouts for Kenny Miller, Andrew Taylor & Peter Whittingham. Like Pompey, Cardiff have had a decent start, claiming 7 points from an available 12, 3 of which came in the opening day smash & grab win at Upton Park & the Bluebirds & have also only lost to Brighton in the league. We fancy this one to be tight and although both teams will be looking for victory following away draws last weekend we think the likely outcome will follow suit and end in a draw.

Stepping up from the lower leagues to the top flight, we've noted a bet that has to be taken on value grounds alone. The bookmakers have priced Bolton Wanderers as virtual no hopers at 15/2 to beat Liverpool away at Anfield but that is underestimating the Trotters chance especially at this stage in the season. Bolton were hugely impressive on the opening weekend, stuffing QPR 4-0 at Loftus Road before putting up a valiant & attacking performance against genuine title contenders Man City to eventually lose 3-2. Manager Owen Coyle seems determined to keep their free-flowing style even in away games & that should mean that goals are always likely (at both ends), that reduces the chance of a draw & increases the value in the odds of either side winning. Liverpool dispatched Arsenal last week but in truth the Gunners were in disarray & an offside goal helped their cause & they were very average in the 2nd half against Sunderland in week 1. Dalglish played a strong side in the Carling Cup but their £35m striker Andy Carroll still wasn't looking at his sharpest & a few players may still be feeling that game come Saturday. If this turns into a game of goals we fancy Bolton to outscore Liverpool so long as Gary Cahill can impose his physical strength on wily Luis Suarez & limit the Uruguayan's chances.

Selections:
Port Vale to beat Southend at 11/8 (Victor Chandler)
Portsmouth and Cardiff to draw at 12/5 (Victor Chandler)
Bolton to beat Liverpool at 15/2 (general)

A £10 treble with Victor Chandler could net you a healthy £686 return & is a lot more likely to come in than those 7+ team accumulators we regularly see pass across our local bookies counter!

We also want to tip over 2.5 goals in Sunday's big match match between Manchester United & Arsenal. Last term, games at Old Trafford saw an average of over 3 goals and matches involving Arsenal as the away team saw an even higher average. We see no reason why this trend will stop and suggest that this one could rain goals. Manchester United have looked strong thus far going forward with some supporters claiming they haven't even got out of first gear, Arsene Wenger's men need a performance to hush the 'boo-boys' and will be doing all they can to claim victory in the North West, both defences are vulnerable and both attacks clearly have the ability to score for that reason we think the match will produce at least 3 goals, Paddy Power are offering 4/6 on over 2.5 goals.

Manchester United vs Arsenal - over 2.5 goals at 4/6+

1 comment:

  1. Good stuff, may take on the Bolton bet and green out if they go ahead...

    ReplyDelete