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Sunday, 25 March 2012

Lets Lash the Bookies at the Curragh

Sunday sees the opening meeting of the Irish flat racing season at the Curragh & we reckon we've a couple of fillies that can give us a great beginning to the year. Hopefully you were folowing us in on our bets for Saturday where we had Premio Loco win at 5/1 in the Winter Derby & all three of our football selections were successful with Tranmere & Sheffield Wednesday winning & the Arsenal to win by more than one goal bet coming in comfortably.

(Anam Alta can stamp her authority all over the Express Stakes at the Curragh)

The day's feature race is the Group 3 Express Stakes for fillies & mares over a mile & we'rre sweet on the chances of the top weight Anam Alta, a 4 year old with just the 6 runs under her belt but having won half of those including a Group 3 at the back end of last year meaning she carries a penalty here. Dermot Weld's filly has campaigned exclusively over shorter distances previously with one run over 6 furlongs & the other 5 over 7 furlongs but there's reason to believe this will suit as she's out of a Sadlers Wells mare & has tended to do good work at the end of her races. Anam Alta decimated her 7 runer field in that Group 3, having a 108 rated rival 6 lengths bck in 2nd as she relished the soft undergound conditions & the going repot here is Yielding, Soft in places. It was Anaam Alta's previous race that initially caught our attention as she gave the very useful Alanza a race on unsuitable quick ground before finishing 2nd, Alanza went on to win the Sceptre Stakes at Doncaster & then started at just 4/1 for th Group 1 Sun Chariot, that shows the type of class Anam Alta has & we're unconvinced by her oposition here. We don't want to go anywhere near 3 year olds taking on their older counterparts this early in the year & Aidan O'Brien's Twirl looks like going off way too short based on what she's done so far, a 3rd followed by a convincing win in a maiden, she's pominent in the 1000 Guineas beting but it's all to do with connections rather than what we've seen on the track. Princess Sinead raced 5 times as a two year old, getting 5th in a Group 1 & 3rd in a Group 3 but she may just be a precocious sort, she's by Jeremy, & we're happy to avoid. Of the other ollder horses Crystal Gal is a consistent Listed performer & Libys Dream recently landed a Listed contest at Wolverhampton but both have pounds to find here with th selection. Anam Alta could make odds of around 4/1 look very overpriced come 4.05, she's already proven her class & has conditions to suit & needs to be backed here.

(Violet Lashes (in 2nd here) will hope to go one better today)

In the final race on the card Violet Lashes can win for jockey Fran Berry & trainer Jessica Harrington, she finished 5th in a 20 runner maiden on her first start before finishing 2nd behind live Classic contender Kissed in a Navan race with similar conditions to today's race. Violet Lashes was clear of the rest of the field that day & the form could be very strong as Kissed looks like she'll have a real chance in the Oaks, our pick already has the form in the book whereas 7 of today's rivals are unraced & the ones that have run haven't run to her level of form. We reckon it's worth chancing that Violet Lashes has progressed from last year, in which case she could chew these rivals up & spit them out en route to a win at odds close to 9/4.

Curragh 4.00 - Anam Alta to win at 4/1
Curragh 5.30 - Violet Lashes to win at 9/4

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